Analyst: Cloud data center capex to mushroom 20% thru 2022

Oct. 7, 2021
Unfortunately, Dell'Oro Group projects that data center capex expansion overall will find itself hampered in the near term by supply chain issues that enterprise data center operators will face.

Dell'Oro Group, in its newly released 2Q 2021 Data Center Capex Quarterly Report, predicts that cloud data center capex will increase by more than 20% year-over-year in the next four quarters. Unfortunately, data center capex expansion overall will find itself hampered in the near term by supply chain issues that enterprise data center operators will face.

Overall, global data center capex numbers should grow 9% this year.

"The cloud service providers' digestion cycle has persisted longer than predicted due to the continued market uncertainty," said Baron Fung, research director at Dell'Oro Group. "We anticipate another cloud expansion cycle to commence starting in the second half of this year, with the service providers increasing their deployment of the latest generation of servers based on the Intel Ice Lake and AMD EPYC Milan x86 processors. While the ongoing supply chain issues may hinder investments, the enterprise, rather than the cloud, is likely to be impacted."

The good news for communications technology vendors is that network infrastructure spending will grow faster than IT infrastructure spending this year. Not surprisingly, Google and Microsoft will spend the most in capex among cloud service providers over the next four quarters, collectively launching services in 13 new regions, according to the report.

Dell'Oro's Data Center Capex Quarterly Report details the data center infrastructure capital expenditures of each of the 10 largest cloud service providers, as well as the “rest of cloud,” telco, and enterprise customer segments. Allocation of the data center infrastructure capex for servers, storage systems, and other auxiliary data center equipment is provided.

The report also discusses market trends, drivers of the leading cloud service providers' capex growth during the quarter, and the outlook for the next year.

-- Stephen Hardy, LIGHTWAVE

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