Real-world 6G predictions

July 28, 2021
"No counter-force is pushing the consumer to reduce their data consumption today, making a factor of 100x growth in data consumption not only reasonable but realistic," observes the industry analyst firm Mobile Experts.

Mobile Experts has released its latest Expert INSIGHTs report, entitled, Predicted Profiles for 6G Traffic.

The report answers the question, "How long will mobile data growth continue at 40-50% per year?" -- and provides a peek at probable forthcoming scenarios for 6G technologies.

Mobile Experts' chief analyst Joe Madden comments, "We see the number of users at all levels rising over the next 15 years, as well as data usage per user. Increase in video and other rich formats will drive massive demand for quick, abundant data—but, how quick, and how abundant? This report provides answers, and maps out the data mountain the industry must climb to maintain growth."

As new VR and other rich media formats mature, Mobile Experts foresees an increase in data intensity. "No counter-force is pushing the consumer to reduce their data consumption today, making a factor of 100x growth in data consumption not only reasonable but realistic," observes the new report's summary.

"Today's mix of fixed and mobile data will continue to migrate onto mobile devices for the next 15 years due to a combination of technology availability and human factors," adds Mobile Experts' Madden. "People want convenience. Now that the cost of mobile broadband is close enough to the cost of fixed broadband, many users don't perceive a cost difference, and will drop their fixed connection in favor of a mobile-only strategy."

One key issue addressed by the report is the rise of indoor data usage, and the ability for mobile networks to service high levels of capacity from outdoor infrastructure.

The analyst contends that while deployments of millimeter wave (mm-wave) and terahertz (THz) networks are expected with 6G, "a fundamental issue with indoor penetration will create a business-model issue related to deployment of indoor infrastructure."

The new report evaluates the level of indoor data, as well as the use of Cognitive Radio (CR) techniques to utilize shared low-band spectrum, and the applicability of mm-wave and THz spectrum. The research includes predictions of how mobile traffic is likely to grow through 2035, with analysis of how the mm-wave and THz bands can relieve network congestion.

The report also examines the competition between fixed broadband and mobile broadband technologies, with an analysis of indoor and outdoor data growth. The analyst contends its conclusions about 6G traffic be surprising to some industry stakeholders.

To learn more, visit https://mobile-experts.net/Home/Report/2207.

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